15 May 2010

ADP: Financial Gauge Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ: ADP) earned $0.80 per share in the fiscal 2010's third quarter, which ended 31 March 2010.  ADP made the same amount in the third quarter of 2009.

In our earlier review of ADP's Income Statement, we compared the actual results to our "look-ahead" estimates.

We have now updated the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.  This post reports on the metrics for ADP and the associated financial gauge scores.  The metrics were calculated using data from ADP's current and historical financial statements, including the latest 10-Q report.


Automatic Data Processing performs payroll, tax, and other personnel-related Business Services for over 500,000 clients, large and small.  ADP pays one of every six private sector employees in the United States.  Additional background information about ADP and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the look-ahead.

In summary, ADP's latest quarterly results produced the following changes to the gauge scores:


The current and historical values for the financial metrics that determine the gauge scores are listed below, with some brief commentary.

14 May 2010

PEP: Financial Gauge Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) earned $0.89 per diluted share on a GAAP basis in the 12-week quarter that ended 20 March 2010.  PepsiCo made $0.17 more per share, 23 percent, than the $0.72 it earned in the March 2009 quarter.

Because PepsiCo's $7.8 billion acquisitions of Pepsi Bottling Group and PepsiAmericas occurred during the latest quarter, the financial statements for this period include many special items that affect the comparability of the results.  Core earnings, which exclude acquisition and other unusual gains and expenses, increased from $0.71 to $0.76 per share.


PepsiCo, Inc., is a leading global purveyor of beverages and snacks.  Additional background information about PepsiCo and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the beginning of the look-ahead.


In our earlier review of PepsiCo's Income Statement, we compared the actual results to our "look-ahead" estimates. 

We have now updated the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.  This post reports on the metrics for PepsiCo and the associated financial gauge scores.  The metrics were calculated using data from PepsiCo's current and historical financial statements, including the latest 10-Q report.

After a major corporate reshaping, such as PepsiCo's bottler acquisitions, the gauge scores can be erratic and possibly misleading for several quarters or longer.  Caution (and patience) is warranted.  Until the transformed company establishes a new track record, we can't be certain of the extent, if it all, to which current and historical data can be compared and produce meaningful results.

With this important caveat, PepsiCo's latest quarterly results produced the following changes to the gauge scores:

The current and historical values for the financial metrics that determine the gauge scores are listed below, with some brief commentary.  Readers are encouraged to verify these figures and calculate others as they see fit using the filings available at the SEC's web site and elsewhere.

13 May 2010

NVDA: Income Statement Analysis for the April 2010 Quarter

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) earned $0.23 per diluted share on a GAAP basis in fiscal 2011's first quarter, which ended on 2 May 2010.  In last year's comparable quarter, NVIDIA incurred a net loss of $0.37 per share.

Non-GAAP earnings per share rose from ($0.13) to $0.23.  The non-GAAP figure for the earlier quarter excludes special charges, after tax, of $132 million ($0.24 per share) related to stock option purchases.

This post examines NVIDIA's Income Statement for the latest quarter and compares the entries on each line to our "look-ahead" estimates.  Reported earnings were $0.02 per share better than the $0.21 per share we had forecast.

The principal sources for the income statement analysis were the earnings announcement, and the Chief Financial Officer's commentary.

In a second article, we will report NVIDIA's scores as measured by the GCFR financial gauges. The follow-up post will also provide the latest figures for the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.

NVIDIA is best known for the powerful Graphics Processing Units that rapidly perform the huge numbers of calculations required to produce hyper-realistic images for computers and video games.  Additional background information about NVIDIA and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the look-ahead.

Please click here to see a full-sized, normalized depiction of the actual and projected results for the just-concluded quarter, as well as the quarterly Income Statements for the last couple of years.  Please note that our organization of revenues, expenses, gains, and losses, which we use for all analyses, can and often does differ in material respects from company-used formats.  The standardization facilitates cross-company comparisons.

12 May 2010

CSCO: Income Statement Analysis for the April 2010 Quarter

Cisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) earned $0.37 per diluted share on a GAAP basis in fiscal 2010's third quarter, which ended on 1 May 2010.  Cisco made 61 percent more than the $0.23 per share it earned in the comparable quarter of 2009.

Non-GAAP earnings rose 40 percent, from $0.30 to $0.42 per share.  Share-based compensation, amortization of acquisition-related intangible assets, and other acquisition-related expenses are usually the main differences between the GAAP and non-GAAP results.  In the latest quarter, the GAAP results included a one-time $158 million tax benefit ($0.03 per share) that was excluded from non-GAAP earnings.

The latest quarter included a rare 14th week.

This post examines Cisco's Income Statement for the quarter and compares the entries on each line to our "look-ahead" estimates.  Reported earnings were $0.02 better than the $0.35 per share we had forecast.  Earnings were $0.01 less than our estimate if the special tax benefit is excluded.

The principal sources for the income statement analysis were the earnings announcement, Chief Financial Officer Frank Calderoni's discussion of the results, and the conference call presentation [pdf].

In a second article, we will report Cisco's scores as measured by the GCFR financial gauges. The follow-up post will also provide the latest figures for the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.

Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), the proud plumber of the Internet, has a dominant role in markets for enterprise networking products and services.  Cisco categorizes its products as routers, switches, and advanced technologies.  Additional background information about Cisco and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the look-ahead.

Please click here to see a full-sized, normalized depiction of the actual and projected results for the just-concluded quarter, as well as the quarterly Income Statements for the last couple of years.  Please note that our organization of revenues, expenses, gains, and losses, which we use for all analyses, can and often does differ in material respects from company-used formats.  The standardization facilitates cross-company comparisons.


11 May 2010

BR: Income Statement Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

Broadridge Financial (NYSE: BR) earned $0.18 per diluted share on a GAAP basis in the third quarter of fiscal 2010, which ended 31 March.  Broadridge made 38 percent less than the $0.29 per share it earned in the same quarter of 2009.

Earnings from continuing operations were $0.22 in the latest quarter.  The securities clearing business, which is being treated as a discontinued operation, lost $0.04 per share.  The sale of this business, announced last November, to Penson Worldwide (NASDAQ: PNSN) is expected to close before the end of June 2010.

This post examines Broadridge's Income Statement for the quarter and compares the entries on each line to our "look-ahead" estimates.  Reported earnings and earnings from continuing operations were both lower than the $0.26 per share we had forecast.

The principal sources for this income statement analysis were the earnings announcement, the conference call presentation, the call transcript (available from Seeking Alpha), and the formal 10-Q report.

In a second article, we will report Broadridge's scores as measured by the GCFR financial gauges. The follow-up post will also provide the latest figures for the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.

Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc., provides brokerage and other services to financial companies.  The Investor Communication Solutions business, which distributes and processes proxies for public companies and mutual funds, contributed more than 70 percent of Broadridge's revenue and pre-tax earnings in fiscal 2009.  Broadridge's Securities Processing business in fiscal 2009 "processed on average over 1.6 million equity trades and over $3 trillion in trades of United States (U.S.) fixed income securities per day."  Additional background information about Broadridge and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the look-ahead.


Please click here to see a full-sized, normalized depiction of the actual and projected results for the just-concluded quarter, as well as the quarterly Income Statements for the last couple of years.  Please note that our organization of revenues, expenses, gains, and losses, which we use for all analyses, can and often does differ in material respects from company-used formats.  The standardization facilitates cross-company comparisons.

10 May 2010

WPI: Income Statement Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

Watson Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NYSE: WPI) earned $0.57 per share in the first quarter of 2010, which ended 31 March.  Watson made 36 percent more than the $0.42 it earned per share in the same quarter of 2009.

Adjusted, non-GAAP earnings increased from $0.69 to $0.81 per share in the latest quarter.  The adjustments exclude non-cash items, such as amortization and asset impairments.

This was the first full quarter after Watson's acquisition of Arrow, which closed on 2 December 2009.  The deal added about 20 generic drugs to Watson's growing product line.

This post examines Watson's Income Statement for the quarter and compares the entries on each line to our "look-ahead" estimates.  Reported Net Income was just slightly greater than our estimate, but a larger-than-expected number of shares outstanding threw our earnings-per-share estimate off by $0.05.

The principal sources for this income statement analysis were the earnings announcement, the ensuing conference call (transcript available from Seeking Alpha), and the formal 10-Q report.

In a second article, we will report Watson's scores as measured by the GCFR financial gauges. The follow-up post will also provide the latest figures for the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.

Watson Pharmaceuticals develops, manufactures, and sells generic and, to a lesser extent, branded pharmaceutical products.  Additional background information about Watson and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the look-ahead.

Please click here to see a full-sized, normalized depiction of the actual and projected results for the just-concluded quarter, as well as the quarterly Income Statements for the last couple of years.  Please note that our organization of revenues, expenses, gains, and losses, which we use for all analyses, can and often does differ in material respects from company-used formats.  The standardization facilitates cross-company comparisons.

09 May 2010

MSFT: Financial Gauge Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) earned $0.45 per diluted share in fiscal 2010's third quarter.  Microsoft made $0.12 more per share, 36 percent, than the $0.33 it earned in the March 2009 quarter.

In our earlier review of Microsoft's Income Statement, we compared the actual results to our "look-ahead" estimates.

We have now updated the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.  This post reports on the metrics for Microsoft and the associated financial gauge scores.  The metrics were calculated using data from Microsoft's current and historical financial statements, including the latest 10-Q report.

Microsoft is best known for operating system and application software, but the company also sells video game consoles, music players, and computer peripherals.  Additional background information about Microsoft and the business environment in which it is now operating can be found in the look-ahead.

In summary, Microsoft's latest quarterly results produced the following changes to the gauge scores:


The current and historical values for the financial metrics that determine the gauge scores are listed below, with some brief commentary.  Readers are encouraged to verify these figures and calculate others as they see fit using the filings available at the SEC's web site and elsewhere.

08 May 2010

EIX: Income Statement Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

Edison International (NYSE: EIX) earned $0.72 per diluted share on a GAAP basis in the first quarter of 2010, which ended on 31 March 2010.  Edison made $0.04 less per share than the $0.76 it earned in 2009's first quarter. 

The latest quarter included a non-cash $39 million charge ($0.12 per share) to address a change in the federal taxation of retiree benefits, which was a provision of the recently enacted health-care legislation.  Excluding this and other special items, Edison's "Core" earnings, a non-GAAP measure, rose from $0.79 to $0.82 per share.  Core earnings exclude results from discontinued operations and other items that do not affect the company's long-term profitability. 

This post examines Edison's Income Statement for the quarter and compares the entries on each line to our "look-ahead" estimates.  Reported earnings equaled the $0.72 per share we had forecast.

The principal sources for this income statement analysis were the earnings announcement, the 10-Q, the conference call presentation, and the call transcript. The latter is made available by SeekingAlpha.

In a second article, we will report Edison's scores as measured by the GCFR financial gauges. The follow-up post will also provide the latest figures for the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.


Edison International is the parent of Southern California Edison and Edison Mission Group.  SCE is a regulated utility that generates and acquires electricity and delivers it to customers in parts of Southern California.  Edison Mission Energy owns, or has interests in, various independent power-generation facilities.  Additional background information about Edison International and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the look-ahead.

Please click here to see a full-sized, normalized depiction of the actual and projected results for the just-concluded quarter, as well as the quarterly Income Statements for the last couple of years.  Please note that our organization of revenues, expenses, gains, and losses, which we use for all analyses, can and often does differ in material respects from company-used formats.  The standardization facilitates cross-company comparisons.

07 May 2010

INTC: Financial Gauge Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) earned $0.43 per diluted share in the first quarter of fiscal 2010.  Intel's income was nearly four times the $0.11 per share it made in 2009's first quarter.

In our earlier review of Intel's Income Statement, we compared the actual results to our "look-ahead" estimates. 

We have now updated the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.  This post reports on the metrics for Intel and the associated financial gauge scores.  The metrics were calculated using data from Intel's current and historical financial statements, including the latest 10-Q.


Intel is the foremost manufacturer of integrated circuits for computers, servers, hand-held devices, and communication products.  Additional background information about Intel and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the look-ahead.

In summary, Intel's latest quarterly results produced the following changes to the gauge scores:
The current and historical values for the financial metrics that determine the gauge scores are listed below, with some brief commentary.

06 May 2010

KG: Income Statement Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

King Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NYSE: KG) earned $0.02 per diluted share on a GAAP basis in the first quarter of 2010, which ended 31 March.  In the year-earlier quarter, various restructuring charges related to the Alpharma acquisition contributed to King losing $0.04 per share.

Non-GAAP "adjusted" earnings fell from $0.26 to $0.14 per share. A $41 million pretax charge for the amortization of intangible assets was the most substantial item excluded from the adjusted results in the latest quarter.

This post examines King's Income Statement for the quarter and compares the entries on each line to our "look-ahead" estimates.  Our $0.18 per share earnings projection was $0.16 more than the reported amount, and it was $0.04 greater than Adjusted earnings.

The principal sources for this income statement analysis were the earnings announcement, the conference call transcript (made available by Seeking Alpha), and the formal 10-Q report.

In a second article, we will report King's scores as measured by the GCFR financial gauges.  The follow-up post will also provide the latest figures for the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.


King Pharmaceuticals, headquartered in Bristol, TN, manufactures and sells various brand-name prescription pharmaceuticals and other products.  The acquisition of Alpharma, in a $1.6 billion deal completed in December 2008, added new painkilling medicines with significant sales potential and animal health products.  Additional background information about King and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the look-ahead.

Please click here to see a full-sized, normalized depiction of the actual and projected results for the just-concluded quarter, as well as the quarterly Income Statements for the last couple of years.  Please note that our organization of revenues, expenses, gains, and losses, which we use for all analyses, can and often does differ in material respects from company-used formats.  The standardization facilitates cross-company comparisons.




Revenue of $381 million in the first quarter of 2010 was 11 percent less than Revenue of $429 million in the same quarter of last year.  Total Revenue was 14 percent less than the $444 million we had expected. 

Sales of branded prescription pharmaceuticals, the company's largest business, fell 13 percent from the first quarter of 2009.  Only the Animal Health business, of King's four reporting business segments, achieved a Revenue increase in the latest quarter when compared to the same quarter of 2009. King recently decided to retain this business, which came with Alpharma.


Business Segment Revenue ($M)1Q-20101Q-2009Change
Branded prescription pharmaceuticals $241.5 $277.7   -13%
Animal Health 81.3 79.8   +2%
Meridian Auto-Injector 49.8 56.6   -12%
Royalties and other 8.6 16.1   -46%
Eliminations (0.5) (1.2) NA
Total Revenue
$380.9 $429.1   -11%


Revenue is also reported separately for each of King's major Branded prescription pharmaceutical products, as listed below.

Sales of Skelaxin®, the company's biggest product, are expected to "decrease significantly" in the remainder of 2010 because generic versions from Sandoz (part of Novartis) and CorePharma recently became available. //Update//On 7 May 2010, the Associated Press reported that King had received a preliminary injunction that would limit or delay the availability of generic versions of Skelaxin®.  We have not seen a formal statement from King on the significance of the injunction."//  Thrombin-JMI®, another important product, is losing ground to competitors.


Branded Prescription Pharma Revenue ($M) 1Q-2010  1Q-2009  Change 
Skelaxin® $90.9 $100.6 -10%
Thrombin-JMI® 36.9 47.3 -22%
Flector® Patch 33.5 16.8 +100%
Avinza® 23.2 39.0 -40%
Embeda® 9.1 0NA
Levoxyl® 15.4 19.6 -22%
Other 32.5 54.4 -40%
Total Segment Revenue $241.5 $277.7 -13%


King is optimistic about EMBEDA™, which it began selling in September 2009.  This opioid is for management of moderate to severe pain under certain conditions.  King reported Embeda is achieving volume and market share growth.  The FDA had objected to claims made in some of the marketing information used in conjuction with the product's launch.  King revised its marketing materials and implemented other corrective actions that apparently satisfied the FDS.

The doubling of Flector® Patch revenue is partially due to depressed sales in the earlier period when wholesale inventories were adjusted after the Alpharma acquisition.  King expressed some disappointment with Flector's sales, which it attributed to time spent on Embeda marketing.

The Cost of Goods Sold (CGS) -- "Cost of Revenues" on King's Income Statement -- was $127 million, or 33.4 of Revenue.  This equates to a Gross Margin of 66.6 percent, which is 320 basis points less profitable than the 69.8-percent margin last year.  The decline in the Gross Margin might be due to lower Revenue, changes in the product mix, competitive pressures, Embeda launch costs, and increased royalty payments related to Skelaxin.

The latest Gross Margin was 90 basis points less than our 67.5-percent target for the quarter.

The Depreciation (including Intangible Amortization, and Accelerated Depreciation) expense of $57 million was 7 percent more than last year's $53 million.  As a percentage of Revenue, this expense increased from 12.4 percent to 15.0 percent.

The latest Depreciation expense was $24 million more than our $33 million estimate, which was based on the company's guidance for the year.

Research and Development expenses were relatively unchanged, rising from $27 million to $28 million. We had estimated $26 million.

Sales, General, and Administrative expenses, exclusive of special charges, were also nearly unchanged at $140 million.  We expected $142 million, 1 percent more than the actual amount.

The SGA& expense increased from 32.3 percent to 36.9 percent of Revenue.

King often records "special" non-recurring operating charges, but the amounts in the latest quarter were immaterial.  The year-earlier quarter included acquisition-related and restructuring charges totaling $70 million.

Subtracting the various operating expenses from Revenue yields Operating Income of $27 million, compared to only $7 million in the year-earlier quarter.  Non-GAAP Operating Income fell from $119.7 million to $70.8 million.  Both figures for Operating Income were substantially less than our $89 million target, primarily because of lower-than-expected Revenue and higher-than-expected Depreciation.

A net Non-Operating expense of $9 million was down considerably from last year's $24 million.  The latest amount was also less than the $15 million we had estimated.  Interest Expense was the item in the Non-Operating category that changed the most, from $23 million to less than $9 million.

The effective Income Tax Rate was an extraordinary 75 percent, adding insult to injury.  We had expected a 38 percent tax rate. 

King stated that the tax rate was higher than normal because of "losses on foreign subsidiaries with no tax benefit, stock compensation and state taxes."


Bottom-line Net Income flipped from an $11 million ($0.04 per share) loss in 2009's first quarter to a tiny $4 million ($0.02 per share) gain in the latest quarter.  On a non-GAAP basis, Net Income declined from $64 million ($0.26 per share) to $35.7 million ($0.15 per share).

Neither formulation of Net Income reached our target of $46 million ($0.18 per share).





Full disclosure: Long KG at time of writing.

04 May 2010

PRGN: Income Statement Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

Paragon Shipping, Inc., (NYSE: PRGN) earned $0.185 per share, on a GAAP basis, in the first quarter of 2010.  This amount is 74 percent less than the $0.71 per share Paragon made in 2009's first quarter. 

Adjusted Net Income, a non-GAAP measure that excludes various non-cash items, fell from $14.7 million to $8.1 million.  Adjusted earnings per share dropped from $0.54 to $0.16.

An 83-percent increase in the weighted average number of diluted Class A common shares steepened the EPS decline.  The share-count rise resulted from 2009's equity offerings.


This post reviews Paragon's Income Statement for the quarter.  We did not issue any estimates in advance of the actual results being released.  The principal sources for the analysis were the earnings announcement and the conference call presentation [pdf].

In a second article, we will provide updated figures for the financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.

Paragon Shipping owns and charters ships that carry dry bulk cargoes.  The company is headquartered in Greece and has been operating since December 2006.  Paragon generally seeks to secure one-to-five year, fixed-rate charters for its vessels; this strategy dampens the effect of industry volatility on the company.  In 2010, charter arrangements have been made for all vessels throughout the year.

Please click here to see a full-sized, normalized depiction of the actual results for the just-concluded quarter, as well as the quarterly Income Statements for the last couple of years.  Please note that our organization of revenues, expenses, gains, and losses, which we use for all analyses, can and often does differ in material respects from company-used formats.  The standardization facilitates cross-company comparisons.

03 May 2010

NOK: Financial Gauge Analysis for the March 2010 Quarter

Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK) earned €0.09 per diluted share, in accordance with IFRS, in the first quarter of 2010.  IFRS earnings tripled the €0.03 made in 2009's first quarter.  On an non-IFRS basis, Nokia's earnings per share increased from €0.10 to €0.14.

In our earlier review of Nokia's Income Statement, we compared the actual results to our "look-ahead" estimates. 

We have now updated the various financial metrics we use to analyze Cash Management, Growth, Profitability and Value.  This post reports on the metrics for Nokia and the associated financial gauge scores.  The metrics were calculated using data from Nokia's current and historical financial statements.


Headquartered in Espoo, Finland, Nokia shipped 432 million mobile phones in 2009.  The company's hand-held product line runs the gamut from modest entry-level devices to high-end smartphones.   Nokia also sells network infrastructure.  Additional background information about Nokia and the business environment in which it is currently operating can be found in the beginning of the look-ahead.

In summary, Nokia's latest quarterly results produced the following changes to the gauge scores:

The current and historical values for the financial metrics that determine the gauge scores are listed below, with some brief commentary.